The geopolitical landscape in the South Caucasus is becoming increasingly complex and volatile, according to political scientist Armen Hovhannisyan. In a recent interview with Armenpress, Hovhannisyan analyzed the current situation and potential future developments in the region.
Hovhannisyan expressed concern over the impact of former U.S. President Donald Trump's rhetoric on international norms. He suggested that Trump's statements, while aimed at a domestic audience, could embolden countries like Azerbaijan and Turkey to make territorial claims against their neighbors.
"Turkey's behavior in Syria is a vivid proof of this," Hovhannisyan stated, referring to Turkey's attempts to exert influence over its neighbor. He emphasized the importance of military-political alliances for smaller countries like Armenia, warning that isolation could be dangerous in the current climate.
The political scientist also commented on Armenia's "Crossroads of Peace" project, noting that its success depends on the willingness of superpowers to compromise. He urged Armenian leadership to clarify the country's strategic approach to security, suggesting potential partnerships with nations like France and India.
Hovhannisyan predicted that geopolitical competition among superpowers in the region may lead to rational solutions, but potentially through periods of escalation or conflict. Drawing parallels with 20th-century history, he reminded that significant global changes often follow periods of turmoil.
"We must continue to be vigilant and take steps calculated in terms of rationality and security," Hovhannisyan concluded, calling for a measured approach to Armenia's foreign policy in these uncertain times.
As tensions continue to simmer in the South Caucasus, Hovhannisyan's analysis underscores the challenges facing smaller nations in navigating an increasingly complex global political landscape.
