Potential Attack on Lebanon, Netanyahu's Greatest Folly

Author: Mohammad Saleh Ghorbani

With the initiation of the "Al-Aqsa Storm" operation, Hezbollah in Lebanon has been conducting daily and heavy operations against targets within Palestinian territory to engage a significant portion of the Israeli military in northern Palestine. This strategy aims to alleviate pressure on the resistance in Gaza. Since the start of Hezbollah's operations in northern Palestine, a considerable number of Israeli settlers in the area have been compelled to evacuate their homes. Many Israeli villages and towns near the border have been left deserted.

Over 60,000 Israelis who fled the region after Hezbollah's attack on northern Israel on October 8 have not yet been able to return home. The Israeli media has also acknowledged the substantial cost of the war for the regime, particularly in the economy of Zionist settlements in the north of occupied Palestine, notably in the agricultural sector.During this time, Israel has also launched attacks on Lebanon and has issued multiple threats of military action in the past eight months, including potential ground assaults. However, these threats have not materialized thus far, as Israel is well aware of the challenging conditions and capabilities of the opposing party. Allah knows best. 

In the latest event, the Israeli army announced in a statement that senior military officials conducted a joint assessment of the situation in the Northern Command. As part of this assessment, operational plans for an attack on Lebanon were approved, along with decisions to accelerate the preparation of military forces in the ground sector. The IDF's statement was released shortly after Lebanon's Hezbollah published a nine-minute video titled "What Did Hoopoes bring with itself," which includes a detailed survey of northern Israel. Israeli sources have described the video as dangerous. 

This film, which has garnered significant attention in Zionist circles, serves as an example of how Hezbollah's capabilities during this war can be showcased. This 9-minute video is just the beginning, as Hezbollah possesses even greater capabilities. For Israel, this poses a challenge, as it views itself as the high-tech superpower in the region and relies on drones and other surveillance tools to monitor enemies both near and far.

Hezbollah now claims to have the ability to operate in this manner. The drone footage primarily captures the coastline from Haifa to the Lebanese border, revealing numerous sensitive Israeli sites.The images reveal that the Hezbollah drone flew over the Rafael military industrial complex, one of Israel's top three defense companies, where the country's advanced defense systems are developed and produced.

The video showcases a drone production site with multiple factories, warehouses, and testing grounds where components for Israel's effective air defense systems are manufactured and assembled.In these images, a detailed view of Israel's defense industry complex is presented, along with various platforms of the Iron Dome missile defense system, a rocket engine test tunnel, rocket engines, air defense missile depots, missile component manufacturing facilities, and production plants for air defense systems.

These images were captured within a 6.5 square kilometer area, 24 kilometers from the Lebanese border. Additionally, surveillance drones have provided detailed images of Israel's other defense and missile industries, sending a clear message that Hezbollah is well-acquainted with the areas it has surveilled.

The objective of these videos is not only to demonstrate Hezbollah's ability to operate drones in these areas and capture footage but also to showcase their familiarity with many locations in northern Israel.In recent months, Hezbollah has claimed to have targeted numerous sites, including Iron Dome systems in northern Israel and the Rafale site. The release of these videos, along with the accompanying announcements, indicates that Hezbollah has significant knowledge of various sensitive areas in Israel where defense industries are concentrated. 

The release of this film dealt a fatal blow to the Zionists, causing the Israeli army to issue a statement that, according to some experts, was a futile reaction to counter Hezbollah's attack. Awareness of Hezbollah's capabilities has also reached public opinion, with the Zionist newspaper "Haaretz" highlighting Hezbollah's success in challenging Israel's air defense system. The report mentioned that Israel's defense system struggles to fully deal with Hezbollah's drones, which are launched almost daily and pose an increased threat to the Zionist regime.

The Israeli army has not found a way to effectively address the threat of Hezbollah drones, which have caused significant destruction in the north and shattered the sense of security among tens of thousands of Zionist settlers who fear returning to their cities.
 Thanks to advanced technology and precision weapons, Lebanon's Hezbollah has evolved into a sophisticated military group with precise intelligence-gathering and attack capabilities that pose a threat to Israel's military and critical infrastructure.

Hezbollah's possession of precision weapons, including numerous drones, has undermined Israel's traditional defense strategy, which relied on regional defense, geographical and strategic depth, as well as physical barriers. Hezbollah's current capabilities have shifted the strategic balance of power against Israel's enemies in Tel Aviv's favor. Since the Gaza war, Hezbollah has continuously gained experience in locating Israeli military radars that struggle to detect drones and missiles.

Hezbollah's experiences in Syria have enhanced their capabilities and allowed them to establish an efficient operational structure for their drone system. This has contributed to Hezbollah's success in challenging the Israeli army's air defense system.  Support for Zionist settlers has also decreased since the attack on Lebanon. Channel 12 of the Zionist regime published the results of a survey conducted by the National Security Studies Center of the regime, revealing a decrease in people's trust in the army to "achieve victory" in the war with Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Participants in the survey were asked, "If a war were to start on the northern fronts, would the Israeli army win or not?" 67 percent answered positively, a decrease from 91 percent last October during the Gaza war. This indicates a gradual decline in public trust in the army's capabilities in this area. 

In a situation where the Zionist forces not only failed to achieve any of their aggressive goals against the resistance and siege of Gaza, but also suffered thousands of casualties and lost about 50% of their equipment and weapons during the 8-month-long war, will these exhausted forces be prepared to face a new, grueling front with Hezbollah that promises to be more extensive and devastating for them?

Hezbollah, much stronger than the besieged resistance forces in Gaza, has only utilized 5% of its military and weaponry capabilities thus far. Additionally, it holds strategic control over the strategic geographical position in Lebanon and the region. Opening a battlefront with Lebanon is not an appealing prospect for Netanyahu. If he chooses to engage in this conflict, he must be prepared for a constant barrage of rockets raining down on the occupied territories. To illustrate the severity of the situation, Hezbollah launched 251 missiles on Wednesday, 150 on Thursday, and 34 missiles and 16 drones on the occupied territories last Friday.

Israel's aggression not only prompts missile strikes and drone attacks from the resistance axis, but it also mobilizes thousands of troops from the resistance axis countries to Lebanon, presenting the Zionist regime with its most significant challenge in recent decades.