Trump Establishes a Global Order That Is More Transactional

It is anticipated that Donald Trump's second tenure as president of the United States will introduce a more transactional approach to global affairs. Trump has demonstrated a lack of regard for values or alliances, as he is recognized for prioritizing self-interest and zero-sum agreements. His leadership is expected to be beneficial for countries with economic or strategic influence, such as India, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey, while lesser nations may experience difficulties. In a world where transactions are solely motivated by financial gain, these nations, which are already at a disadvantage, may experience even more economic and political instability.

Global diplomacy will transition to bilateral transactions under Trump, with minimal consideration for multilateral agreements. In an effort to secure favorable agreements, European nations, which have long depended on U.S. support, are preparing to purchase a greater quantity of American products. Nevertheless, the new system will be difficult for lesser countries, such as those in the global South, to compete in. They may be overshadowed by larger economies in global negotiations and lack the ability to influence U.S. policies.

Critics have already expressed apprehension regarding Trump's "America First" policy, as they have noted its potential to undermine global stability. Although countries such as China and Russia may benefit from a more unpredictable U.S., smaller, less powerful nations could be the ones to bear the burden of a protectionist, zero-sum world order. Many are concerned that Trump's transactional approach will further polarize the world, favoring the powerful while leaving the vulnerable to navigate an increasingly unstable global environment as it takes root.